Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003493 0.003894 0.004312 0.004779 0.005285 0.005817 0.006416
2024-10-20 0.002777 0.003329 0.003937 0.004652 0.005466 0.006362 0.007417
2024-10-27 0.002388 0.003019 0.003743 0.004625 0.005666 0.006847 0.008280
2024-11-03 0.002072 0.002747 0.003546 0.004553 0.005774 0.007197 0.008966
2024-11-10 0.001849 0.002556 0.003421 0.004539 0.005930 0.007587 0.009688
2024-11-17 0.001652 0.002376 0.003287 0.004496 0.006035 0.007903 0.010316
2024-11-24 0.001545 0.002301 0.003276 0.004598 0.006313 0.008430 0.011206
2024-12-01 0.001370 0.002119 0.003111 0.004487 0.006308 0.008596 0.011644
2024-12-08 0.001255 0.002008 0.003031 0.004479 0.006429 0.008918 0.012276
2024-12-15 0.001213 0.001996 0.003081 0.004644 0.006779 0.009536 0.013297
2024-12-22 0.001141 0.001936 0.003059 0.004705 0.006989 0.009974 0.014091
2024-12-29 0.001099 0.001915 0.003091 0.004840 0.007298 0.010547 0.015069
2025-01-05 0.001061 0.001900 0.003131 0.004992 0.007640 0.011178 0.016149
2025-01-12 0.000946 0.001757 0.002978 0.004859 0.007582 0.011270 0.016514
2025-01-19 0.000871 0.001671 0.002901 0.004832 0.007667 0.011553 0.017136
2025-01-26 0.000791 0.001570 0.002797 0.004756 0.007678 0.011732 0.017615
2025-02-02 0.000732 0.001500 0.002736 0.004742 0.007774 0.012028 0.018257
2025-02-09 0.000672 0.001423 0.002658 0.004698 0.007822 0.012254 0.018804
2025-02-16 0.000648 0.001407 0.002678 0.004803 0.008094 0.012801 0.019807
2025-02-23 0.000582 0.001312 0.002561 0.004688 0.008029 0.012862 0.020125
2025-03-02 0.000542 0.001259 0.002512 0.004680 0.008125 0.013155 0.020773
2025-03-09 0.000536 0.001271 0.002574 0.004851 0.008498 0.013858 0.022019
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.001247 0.002571 0.004914 0.008706 0.014322 0.022926